Feeling like your marketing spend is a guessing game? You are not alone. Matched market testing is a method to test marketing effectiveness, acting like a compass in the foggy world of advertising ROI.

It’s an experiment comparing results of a marketing tactic in a “test market” against a similar “control market.” It’s like a science experiment, but for marketing.

Table of Contents:

Decoding the Magic of Matched Market Testing

Matched market testing might sound complex, but it helps control risks in new or changing ad campaigns. It’s like getting a check-up for your marketing health.

The use of MMT shows measurable improvements of campaign impact to revenue. Let’s explore real-life applications, best methods, and tips for matched market testing.

Why Traditional Attribution is Fading

Traditional Multi-Touch Attribution (MTA) models are becoming less reliable. Privacy changes like the CCPA, GDPR, and iOS 17 updates limit tracking. This reduces the data marketers can collect.

These shifts force advertisers to find new ways to measure. Matched market testing, or even Marketing Mix Models, have gained momentum.

Why Ad Platform Lift Tests Aren’t Always Enough

Ad platforms offer lift tests. However, these have inconsistencies in measuring true performance.

Lift tests measure ad performance using ad exposure groups. These compare people who viewed a brand’s advertising with those who did not.

Analytic Edge found reduced costs with a Test vs. Control Method. The cost saving was significant.

Different Methods, Different Results

Different platforms use different testing methods. This creates challenges in measuring ad performance.

Comparing results across platforms is difficult. Meta or Google, may use different methods.

This affects understanding a new method. Having the right reporting when comparing and testing against each other helps with data quality.

Budget Constraints

Many platform tests need a large budget. Smaller businesses might find MMT more accessible.

Running marketing and ad budgets can be costly. A matched market testing process justifies expenditures by focusing the tests.

Cross-Platform Measurement Limits

Platform tests usually only measure impact within their own system. It’s hard to know the combined effect of campaigns across multiple platforms.

An advertiser’s investment can be substantial in digital advertising. Understanding the data is difficult when a campaign runs in one platform versus many.

The Better Way: Matched Market Testing Methods

Knowing what drives performance has gained attention, in today’s marketing. One study shows that “78% say data and analytics have significantly changed what the business has to spend”.

Understanding different testing methodologies helps. Several models allow advertisers to measure and act.

Randomized Controlled Testing (RCT)

Randomized Controlled Testing (RCT) gauges marketing effectiveness. In an RCT, people are randomly placed into groups.

One group gets the marketing, the other doesn’t. This allows direct comparison to find the campaign’s impact.

This is accurate, but has problems. Here’s an evaluation:

Pros Cons
Precise measurement. High costs and logistical problems.
Handles complex campaigns. Difficult with small ad spends.

Marketing Mix Models (MMM)

Marketing Mix Models (MMM) show how each marketing channel contributes. They’re good for budget planning, but need time and detail.

MMMs help evaluate paid ad channels. Here’s a comparison:

Pros Cons
Helps overall performance view. Needs historical data.
Can factor different variables. Not useful for fast changes.
Focusing on aggregate data. Complexity when used.

GeoLift Experimentation

GeoLift uses different areas. It compares where marketing is used against areas where it is not, requiring less data overall.

A Matched Market Test (MMT) lets marketing managers compare more clearly. Comparing a location exposed to a campaign against one without.

Measuring two areas creates control. The method improves campaign decisions.

Pros Cons
Minimal data, so focuses on privacy. More limited to capture global impact.
Faster action, less time needed. Matching comparisons on geo is a challenge.

Putting Matched Market Testing into Action: A Real-World Look

Let’s imagine an e-commerce company specializing in activewear wants to increase sales. They launch a discount offer to customers who showed interest but haven’t purchased in months.

The team uses matched market testing. They select three similar test markets.

Market Selection:

  • Test Market: Austin, Texas (receives a 20% discount for previous site users, cart abandonment visitors, and select other segments on a social network).
  • Control Market: San Antonio, Texas (No promotional offering).

The team launches the discount in Austin. Throughout July, they monitor metrics like sales, website visits, and email open rates, comparing against the control market.

Results Analysis and Measurement Comparison

After the test, Austin’s revenue and transactions increased. It appeared to improve compared with previous months.

Analyzing data would determine value. Using promotional tactics for planning of seasonal approaches.

Matched Market Testing and Future Predictions

Marketers are always anticipating change and evaluating ad budget spends. Staying flexible helps growth impact campaigns and measurement.

Understanding trends and methods is important. For example, adding Artificial Intelligence, expanding globally, or using measurement technology will need focus.

Artificial Intelligence

Future marketing relies on AI and machine learning. Machine learning enables accurate analysis.

New technology gives the industry opportunities. These include improved incrementality testing and geo experiments.

Worldwide Market Impact

Going beyond regional testing. As you move to worldwide, more factors happen.

When measuring behavior, advertisers learn more. This especially happens with experimental design as things change.

Improvements of Analytics Use

Measuring incremental metrics is improved. Analytics improvements make calculating easier.

Advertisers adapting to changes. Understanding marketing metrics creates stronger performance. This is particularly useful with A/B Testing, which is crucial in digital marketing analysis.

Conclusion

In marketing, feeling uncertain if a strategy will profit is worrying. Having details can be tough with new methods.

Matched market testing helps. It enables comparison of areas exposed to marketing, versus untouched areas.

Marketers will keep testing and stay flexible. Testing on matched markets helps give purpose, so use caution, keep comparing, and industry changes will not be overwhelming.

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Author

Lomit is a marketing and growth leader with experience scaling hyper-growth startups like Tynker, Roku, TrustedID, Texture, and IMVU. He is also a renowned public speaker, advisor, Forbes and HackerNoon contributor, and author of "Lean AI," part of the bestselling "The Lean Startup" series by Eric Ries.